Sunday, November 18, 2012

Understanding/Using the Data and Images from the Sun

http://www.hamqsl.com/solar2.html

Understanding/Using the Data and Images from the Sun

Understanding/Using Solar-Terrestrial Data from the Solar Data Panel(s)

  • Most of us understand the impacts of Solar Flux/Sun Spots have on HF communications, but some are unsure about the remaining data provided in the panel.
  • I have created an easy to understand abbreviated table below that provides HF Propagation conditions based on the current Solar-Terrestrial Data. Factors provided include background X-Ray, Proton Flux, and K index (including the nT measurement), Solar Flux Index (SFI), Sunspots (SN), Electron Flux, and Aurora (includes Normalization factor (n) less than 2.0 = high confidence, greater than 2.0 = low confidence).
  • Because some items are better when high, and others low, I have color coded the blocks. Green is best contitions, yellow marginal, red unacceptable.
  • A printable page (best using landscape) is also provided for ease of use in the shack. This single page easy to understand table is a must for any HAM operator (with a memory as bad as mine has gotten).
  • Note that I will be adding how to use the 304A data to the page in the near future.
  •  I added Solar Wind and Bz component to the table.
Click for printable Solar events page

HF & VHF Propagation Conditions based on Current Solar-Terrestrial and other Data
Current Solar-Terrestrial DataCategoryRadio Blackouts
Use X-Ray
Solar Radiation Storms
Use Proton Flux
Geomagnetic Storms
Use K-Index/K-nT/ Aurora/Solar Wind/Bz
Band Openings
Use Solar Flux (SN)
Electron Alert
Use Electron Flux
ExtremeX20 (1 per cycle)
Complete HF blackout on entire sunlit side lasting hours
1000000 (1 per cycle)
Complete HF blackout in polar regions
K=9 (nT=>500) [Aur=10++] (SW=>800) [Bz=-40 -50]
(4 per cycle)
HF impossible. Aurora to 40°. Noise S30+.
200-300 (SN=160-250)
Reliable communications all bands up through 6m
>1000 Alert
Partial to complete HF blackout in polar regions
SevereX10 (8 per cycle)
HF blackout on most of sunlit side for 1 to 2 hours
100000 (3 per cycle)
Partial HF blackout in polar regions
K=8 (nT=330-500) [Aur=10+] (SW=700-800) [Bz=-30 -40] (100 per cycle)
HF sporadic. Aurora to 45°. Noise S20-S30.
StrongX1 (175 per cycle)
Wide area HF blackout for about an hour on sunlit side
10000 (10 per cycle)
Degraded HF propagation in polar regions
K=7 (nT=200-330) [Aur=10] (SW=600-700) [Bz=-20 -30]
(200 per cycle)
HF intermittent. Aurora to 50°. Noise S9-S20.
150-200 (SN=105-160)
Excellent conditions all bands up through 10m w/6m openings
ModerateM5 (350 per cycle)
Limited HF blackout on sunlit side for tens of minutes
1000 (25 per cycle)
Small effects on HF in polar regions
K=6 (nT=120-200) [Aur=9] (SW=500-600) [Bz=-10 -20]
(600 per cycle)
HF fade higher lats. Aurora to 55°. Noise S6-S9.
120-150 (SN=70-105)
Fair to good conditions all bands up through 10m
<1000 Active
Degraded HF propagation in polar regions
MinorM1 (2000 per cycle)
Occasional loss of radio contact on sunlit side
100 (50 per cycle)
Minor impacts on HF in polar regions
K=5 (nT=70-120) [Aur=8] (SW=400-500) [Bz=0 -10]
(1700 per cycle)
HF fade higher lats. Aurora to 56°. Noise S4-S6.
90-120 (SN=35-70)
Fair conditions all bands up through 15m
<100 Active
Minor impacts on HF in polar regions
ActiveC1 Moderate Flare
Low absorption of HF signals
10 Active
Very minor impacts on HF in polar regions
K=3-4 (nT=20-70) [Aur=6-7] (SW=200-400) [Bz=0-+50]Unsettled/Active
Minor HF fade higher lats. Aurora 60-58°. Noise S2-S3.
70-90 (SN=10-35)
Poor to fair conditions all bands up through 20m
<10 Normal
No impacts on HF
NormalA1-B9 No/Small Flare
No or very minor impact to HF signals
1 Normal
No impacts on HF
K=0-2 (nT=0-20) [Aur=<5] (SW=200-400) [Bz=0-+50]Inactive/Quiet
No impacts on HF. Aurora 67-62°. Noise S0-S2.
64-70 (SN=0-10)
Bands above 40m unusable
<1 Normal
No impacts on HF
VHF Conditions
 Aur Lat (Auroral Latitude): Indicates lowest latitude from the current Aurora Activity measurement. Text color coded for low activity, hi-latitude, & mid-latitude.
 Aurora (Northern Auroral Activity): Band Closed = No/Low Auroral activity. High LAT AUR = Auroral activity >60°N. MID LAT AUR = Auroral activity 60° to 30°N.
 EsEU (Sporadic E - Europe): Band Closed = No Sporadic E (ES) activity. High MUF (2M only) = Cond support 2M ES 50/70/144MHz ES = Respective band open
 EsNA (Sporadic E - North America): Band Closed = No Sporadic E (ES) activity. High MUF = Cond support 2M ES 144MHz ES = ES reported @ 2M
 EME (Earth-Moon-Earth): Current EME degradation. Very Poor (>5.5dB), Poor (4dB), Moderate (2.5dB), Good (1.5dB), Very Good (1dB), Excellent (<1dB).
 MUF (Max Usable Frequency Bar Color): No Sporadic E (ES) activity / ES reported @ 6M / ES reported @ 4M / Cond support 2M ES / ES reported @ 2M
 MS (Meteor Scatter Bar): Use color code below bar to determine relative activity.
©N0NBH Paul L Herrman 2011



Glossary of terms for the data available in the N0NBH solar banners
ItemElementDescription
SFISolar Flux IndexDRAO Penticton reported value from 62.5 to 300. Intensity of solar radiation measured at 2800MHz (10.7cm). Good indication of the F layer ionization (layer that gives us most of our DX on HF). The higher the number, the greater the level of ionization is, and the higher the frequency. Measured three times daily, and the last received value is reported.
SNSunspot NumberNOAA reported value from 0 to 250. Daily Sunspot Number provided by NOAA is computed using a formula [R=k (10g+s)] by Rudolph Wolf in 1848, where R is the sunspot number; g is the number of sunspot groups on the solar disk; s is the total number of individual spots in all the groups; and k is a variable scaling factor (usually <1) that accounts for observing conditions and the type of observing device. SN does loosely correlate to SFI. Updated once daily.
APlanetary A IndexNOAA reported value from 0 to 400. Provides a daily average level for geomagnetic activity. Uses the average of eight 3 hour K-Index values (magnetic value measured in nanotesla or nT) to provide the level of instability in the earth’s geomagnetic field. When used with K-Index: Both high indicates geomagnetic field is unstable, and HF signals are prone to sudden fades, and some paths may close while others open up abruptly and with little warning. High K index/Low A indicates a sudden, abrupt disturbance in the geomagnetic field, which can cause an intense but brief disruption in HF propagation, but can cause an auroral event. Updated once daily.
KPlanetary K IndexNOAA reported value from 0 to 9. Measures disturbances in the horizontal component of earth's magnetic field. Value in nT is measured using a magnetometer during a three-hour interval, and then converted to a factor. Use with A-Index – sees above to determine HF conditions. Updated eight times daily.
X-Ray or XRYHard X-RaysNOAA reported value from A0.0 to X9.9. Intensity of hard x-rays hitting the earth’s ionosphere. Impacts primarily the D-layer (HF absorption). The letter indicates the order of magnitude of the X-rays (A, B, C, M and X), where A is the lowest. The number further defines the level of radiation. Updated eight times daily.
304A304 AngstromsNOAA reported value from 0 to unknown. Relative strength of total solar radiation at a wavelength of 304 angstroms (or 30.4 nm), emitted primarily by ionized helium in the sun's photosphere. Two measurements are available for this parameter, one measured by the Solar Dynamics Observatory, using the EVE instrument, and the other, using data from the SOHO satellite, using its SEM instrument. Responsible for about half of all the ionization of the F layer in the ionosphere. 304A does loosely correlate to SFI. Updated hourly.
Pnt Flx or PFProton FluxNOAA reported value from 0 to unknown. Density of charged protons in the solar wind. The higher the numbers, the more the impact the ionosphere. Primarily impacts the E-Layer of the ionosphere. Updated hourly.
Elc Flx or EFElectron FluxNOAA reported value from 0 to unknown. Density of charged electrons in the solar wind. The higher the numbers (>1000), the more the impact the ionosphere. Primarily impacts the E-Layer of the ionosphere. Updated hourly.
AurAuroraNOAA reported value from 0 to 10++. Indicates how strong the F-Layer ionization is in the polar regions. Higher values cause auroral events (including northern/southern lights) to move to lower latitude. Updated hourly.
nNormalizationNOAA reported value from 0 to 5. When <2.0, high confidence in Aurora measurement. When >2, low confidence. Updated hourly.
BzBz ComponentNOAA reported value from +50 to -50. Strength and direction of the interplanetary magnetic field as impacted by solar activity. Positive is same direction as the earth's magnetic field, and negative is the opposite magnetic polarity. Cancels out earth’s magnetic field when negative, which increases the impact of solar particles in the ionosphere. Updated hourly.
SWSolar WindNOAA reported value from 0 to 1000. Speed (kilometers per second) of the charged particles as they pass earth. The higher the speed, the greater the pressure is exerted on the ionosphere. Values greater than 500 km/sec have impact on HF communications. Updated hourly.
Aur LatAurora LatitudeCalculated value from 67.5 to <45.0. Calculation from NOAA utilizes the current Aurora measurement. Used to estimate the lowest latitude impacted by the auroral event. Updated hourly.
AurAuroraDX-Robot reported event (used with permission). Reports Band Closed for No/Low Auroral activity, High LAT AUR for Auroral activity >60°N, or MID LAT AUR for Auroral activity from 60° to 30°N. Updated every ½ hour.
EsEUSporadic E EuropeDX-Robot reported event (used with permission). Reports Band Closed, High MUF when 2M only is open, or 50/70/144MHz ES when the respective band is reported open. Updated every ½ hour.
EsNASporadic E North AmericaDX-Robot reported event (used with permission). Reports Band Closed, High MUF when conditions support Es, and 144MHz ES when the band is reported open. Updated every ½ hour.
EME DegEarth-Moon-Earth DegradationMake More Miles reported value (used with permission). Reports EME path attenuation as Very Poor (>5.5dB), Poor (4dB), Moderate (2.5dB), Good (1.5dB), Very Good (1dB), Excellent (<1dB). Updated every ½ hour.
MUFMaximum Usable FrequencyMake More Miles reported value (used with permission). Provides the Maximum Usable Frequency in a colored bar. Gray indicates No Sporadic E (ES) activity , blue indicates ES reported @ 6M, green indicates ES reported @ 4M, yellow indicates conditions support 2M ES, and red indicates reported @ 2M. Updated every ½ hour.
MSMeteor ScatterMake More Miles reported value (used with permission). Provides the Meteor Scatter activity, blue (low), green, yellow, orange, to red (high) activity in a colored bar. Updated every ½ hour.
GeoMag FldGeomagnetic FieldCalculated value. Indicates how quiet or active the earth's magnetic field is based on the K-Index value. Reports as Inactive, Very Quite, Quiet, Unsettled, Active, Minor Storm, Major Storm, Severe Storm, or Extreme Storm. Higher indications can cause HF blackouts and auroral events. Updated every three hours.
Sig Noise LvlSignal Noise LevelCalculated value. Indicates how much noise (in S-units) is being generated by interaction between the solar wind and the geomagnetic activity. A more active and disturbed solar wind, the greater the noise. Updated every ½ hour.
MUFMaximum Usable FrequencyNOAA reported value from 0 to 100MHz. Provides the maximum usable frequency in MHz at one of 11 locations worldwide. Updated every 15 minutes.
CMECoronal Mass EjectionNOAA/SWPC predicted date and time (in UTC). Provides the date and time of a predicted earth bound CME event. Color coded for severity, where green is minor, yellow is moderate, and red is severe. Updated when predictions are received from NOAA/SWPC.
©N0NBH Paul L Herrman 2012

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